CCEP Publications

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CCEP Publications

The California Civic Engagement Project produces a series of briefs highlighting analysis of civic engagement data in the state of California. A key focus of examination is the identification of disparities in participation across election and population within the state.

 

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CCEP REPORTS

The California Voter Experience: Vote-by-Mail vs. the Polls

vbm briefTo better understand California voters experiences with the different available methods of casting a ballot, the UC Davis California Civic Engagement Project conducted a multi-method research study entitled The California Voter Experience Study. In this first in a series of research briefs examining the California voter experience, we discuss differences in how underrepresented groups view using polling places vs. vote-by-mail, as well as their perspectives on the possible implementation of a new vote center model in California.

 

 


Online Voter Registration: Expanding Access to California's Electoral Process

California's online voter registration (OVR) system was a major factor in the recent registration surge leading up to the state's primary election registration deadline.  A new policy brief released today by the CCEP examines use of online voter registration across the state by geography, race, age, income level and party affiliation.

Research Highlights:

  • Nearly 4 million online voter registrations have been processed in California since this option debuted in 2012, 1.8 million in 2016.
  • Online voter registration is more prevalent in urban, densely populated areas and among younger voters in California.
  • California Colleges and Universities could be doing a better job of making online voter registration accessible to college students.
  • Low income, Latino and Asian Californians are less likely to register online than the general population.
  • Most Asian and Latino online registrants in California are U.S.-born.

 

 

As California Goes, So Goes the Nation? U.S. Demographic Change and the Latino Vote

CCEP Report - Supportive Materials - Maps, Charts and Appendix

This report presents new CCEP research that addresses how demographic change in the U.S. is impacting the nation's political landscape. The 2012 general election generated considerable discussion about the current and future demographic make-up of the U.S. electorate. Much of this attention focused on how growing numbers of U.S. Latinos might generate a larger share of Latino voters, and what their influence might be on the political process. How Latinos vote, how often they vote, and how that vote will grow in the coming years has significant implications for both national and local politics, potentially remaking the nation’s “red-blue map,” and giving Latinos a greater voice in the political decision-making process.

This report provides a detailed overview of the U.S. and California’s changing population composition, while also documenting the historical and current racial and ethnic disparities in voter turnout present within our electoral system.

 

 

CCEP POLICY BRIEFS: Election Series

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Ten - California's Latino an Asian American Vote: Dramatic Underrepresentation in 2014 and Expected Impact in 2016

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Ten - Supportive Materials - State and County GIS Maps, Data Charts and Tables

How well did Latino and Asian Americans turn out to vote last November? What can we expect in 2016? The California Civic Engagement Project (CCEP) at the UC Davis Center for Regional Change will release new research examining disparities in voter participation during the 2014 general election. The policy brief discusses new analysis projecting the strength of the Latino and Asian American vote in California and identifying the potential impact of these voters in the 2016 elections.

 

 

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Nine - California's New Political Realities: The Impact of the Youth Vote on Our Electoral Landscape

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Nine - Supportive Materials - State and County GIS Maps, Data Charts and Tables

In the November 2014 general elections, voter turnout was abysmal across the nation, producing the lowest U.S. turnout rates in decades. California's previous record for low turnout was broken by nearly a half dozen percentage points. Voter turnout is typically lower in mid-term elections, but fall 2014 marked a major falloff from the state's general election turnout in 2012, resulting in even less representation of voters. In this brief, we examine youth electoral participation in California's November 2014 general election and explore the impact of the youth vote on the current and future electoral landscape of the state. 

 


CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Eight - California’s 2014 Youth Voter Turnout: Decline and Future Opportunities

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Eight - Supportive Materials - State and County GIS Maps, Data Charts and Tables

Only 18% of California’s eligible voters (citizens over age 18) turned out to vote in the June 2014 primary election; the lowest eligible turnout of any statewide election in California history. Given the gap between eligible youth turnout (age 18-24) and the rest of the electorate is typically larger in primary elections, the CCEP examines how low youth turnout was in the June primary. The study also projects what the future impact of the youth vote might be in California going forward, given both its changing party affiliations and population size.

 

 

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Seven - Is Demography Political Destiny: Population Change and California's Future Electorate

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Seven - Supportive Materials - State and County GIS Maps, Data Charts and Tables

Post-analysis of the 2012 November election drew considerable discussion around the current and future make-up of the electorate. Much of this attention focused on how future demographic shifts, particularly the expected growth of the non-white population, might impact the makeup of the electorate and, thus, potentially change both the nation's and California's political landscape. Among the findings in this report: 1) By the 2016 elections, California will have a majority-minority electorate -- for the first time, non-Latino whites will fall below 50 percent of the state's eligible voters. 2) California is projected to gain 8.3 million new eligible voters by 2040 -- 8 million of which will be people of color. 3) Latinos are projected to be 33 percent of California's voting electorate by 2040.



CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Six - Changing Political Tides: Demographics and the Impact of the Rising California Latino Vote

This brief examines the impact of the Latino vote in California, over the last decade and its potential growth going forward. Among the key findings: 1) In 2012, Latinos increased their share among California voters, but they remain underrepresented in voter rolls. 2) Latinos are projected to make up 30 percent of California's voters by 2040. The proportion of Latino voters registered as Democratic has been steadily declining over the past decade. Latinos are increasingly registering as having no party preference. 3 ) Latinos who did not cast ballots are more likely to be from lower-income areas of the state.

 

 

 

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Five - California's 2012 Youth Voter Turnout: Disparate Growth and Remaining Challenges

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Five - Supportive Materials - State and County GIS Maps, Data Charts and Tables

This brief examines how the 2012 youth vote differs from California's voting electorate and what impact these differences have on the political party representation in the state. The research finds that more than two-thirds, or 2 million, of California's eligible young adults failed to vote in the 2012 general election, even after a significant increase of 18-to 24-year-olds registering to vote. 2012 youth registered turnout decreased 10 percentage points from the 2008 registered turnout of youth.

 

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Four - Online Voter Registration: Impact on California's 2012 Election Turnout, by Age and Party Affiliation

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Four - Supportive Materials - State and County GIS Maps, Data Charts and Tables

This brief identifies the impact from California's new online voter registration system on the state's electorate. Some analysts questioned whether online registrants would actually turn out to vote. The brief finds that voters who registered online turned out to vote at higher levels than those who registered in traditional ways. Online registrants that voted also looked very different than the rest of the electorate, in terms of age and political party affiliation. Youth made up 30 percent of those who registered online and 26% of all online registrants who voted, adding to overall youth registered turnout.

 

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Three - California's 2012 Electorate: The Impact of Youth and Online Voter Registration

CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Three - Supportive Materials - State and County GIS Maps, Data Charts and Tables

Boosted by online registration, the youth electorate in California grew significantly for the November 2012 election, dramatically outpacing growth in the state's general registration and driving the decline in major party registration. Youth comprised 30% of all online registrants and variation in party affiliation was greater online than in other registration type. The prevalence of youth in online registration may provide another pathway to increasing their influence on the political make-up of the electorate

 

 


CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Two - California's Youth Vote: Strength and Potential

California youth voter registration numbers have grown substantially over the course of the last decade, 25% from the 2002-2010 November elections, outpacing growth in the general electorate. Despite these gains, youth remain underrepresented in California's electorate, with disparity greatest in regions with some of the poorest outcomes for youth.

 

 

 

 


CCEP Policy Brief: Issue One - California Latino and Asian Registration Rates: A Decade of Growth and Disparity

This brief outlines the dramatic increases in Latino and Asian voter registration - nearly 40% for both groups. Despite these gains, there remains a significant gap between Latino and Asian registration compared to their proportion of the state's overall population. The voter registration gap means that these groups have proportionately less say in the electoral process compared to the general population.

 

 

 

 

CCEP ISSUE BRIEFS: Vote-by-Mail Research Series

CCEP Issue Brief Three: Disparities in California's Uncounted Vote-by-Mail Ballots: Youth, Language Preference and Military Status

CCEP Issue Brief Three: Supportive Materials - State and County GIS Maps, Data Charts and Tables

The California Civic Engagement Project (CCEP) recently published an issue brief examining reasons for Vote-by-Mail (VBM) ballot rejection in the state of California and the methods taken at the county level to help voters correct VBM ballot issues. Utilizing detailed voter registration data from California’s county election offices, this latest brief breaks down the analysis of the state’s rejected by age, language preference and military status for the 2012 General Election. Key findings include the following: Youth and non-English language voters are more likely to experience VBM ballot rejection.Missing signatures are a major reason non-English ballots are rejected. Military and overseas voters experience a higher likelihood their VBM ballots will go uncounted.

 

 

CCEP Issue Brief Two: California’s Uncounted Vote-By-Mail Ballots: Identifying Variation in County Processing

CCEP Issue Brief Two: Supportive Materials - State and County GIS Maps, Data Charts and Tables

Voting by mail surpassed 50 percent of votes cast in a general election in California for the first time in 2012. In the June 2014 primary, nearly 70% of all voters used vote-by-mail ballots. In every election, there are mail ballots that are cast but go uncounted. leaving voters disenfranchised. Understanding how and why many California ballots are invalidated (e.g., signature verification issues, postal issues) at the county level can critically inform efforts to reduce the percentage of the state's mail ballots that go uncounted in November 2014 and beyond.

 

 

 

CCEP Issue Brief: One - Disparities in California's Vote-by-Mail Use Changing Demographic Composition: 2002-2012

About half of California's statewide ballots now cast are vote-by-mail. This new research is the first comprehensive analysis of the changing demographic composition of California's vote-by-mail voters over the past decade, providing critical insight into its impact on the state's electorate. Mains findings include: 1) Disparities in vote-by-mail use exist by age, race and ethnicity. There large and growing gap between Latino and Asian groups. 2) Asian voters favored voting by mail more than the general population, while Latinos — the largest growing segment of voters — still prefer to go to the polls. In 2012, 58 percent of Asian voters used mail ballots, compared to only 37 percent of Latino voters. 3) Young voters, ages 18-23, voted by mail the least of all age groups, at 39 percent.

 

 

CCEP FACT SHEETS:

CCEP Issue Brief 9: 2014 Youth Vote Fact Sheet

This fact sheet highlights key data points from CCEP Policy Brief Issue 9. In the November 2014 general elections, voter turnout was abysmal across the nation, producing the lowest U.S. turnout rates in decades. California's previous record for low turnout was broken by nearly a half dozen percentage points. Voter turnout is typically lower in mid-term elections, but fall 2014 marked a major falloff from the state's general election turnout in 2012, resulting in even less representation of voters. In this brief, we examine youth electoral participation in California's November 2014 general election and explore the impact of the youth vote on the current and future electoral landscape of the state.

 

 

CCEP Policy Brief Ten: California's Latino and Asian-American Vote: Dramatic Underrepresentation in 2014 and Expected Impact in 2016 - FACT SHEET SERIES

The CCEP released new facts sheet on the California Latino and Asian-American vote. These fact sheets correspond with the recently CCEP publication, California's Latino and Asia American Vote: Dramatic Underrepresentation in 2014 and expected Impact in 2016.

 

CCEP California Latino and Asian-American: Vote Fact Sheet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LA FS Screenshot.jpgCCEP Latino and Asian-American Vote: Los Angeles Region Fact Sheet

 

 

 

 

 

 


Sac FS Screenshot.jpgCCEP Latino and Asian-American Vote: Sacramento Region Fact Sheet

 

 

 

 

 

 


SJV FS Screenshot.jpgCCEP Latino and Asian-American Vote: San Joaquin Valley Fact Sheet

 

 

 

 

 

 


CCEP Latino and Asian-American Vote: Silicon Valley Fact Sheet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CCEP ACADEMIC ARTICLES:

BOOM: A Journal of California just published an article by the CCEP's Mindy Romero, UC Davis, and Jonathan Fox, UC Santa Cruz, examining regional voter registration rates across California. Findings show that while registration rates are the highest they have been since 1996, they are disproportionate across California's landscape, reflecting the underrepresentation of lower income communities. Click here for the short article.